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November 2006 Property Newsletter  

Welcome to the SydneySlice November Property Newsletter. In this edition we look at the state of the Sydney property market; the Sydney rental market; what's happening with interest rates and sales and facts of interest.

Sydney Property Market Overview

The Sydney property market has continued to show signs of recovery with low growth across the market despite three interest rate increases this year. Growth in median house prices was 1.28% for the 12 months to 31 October 2006. Over the October Quarter there was a 0.53% growth in median house prices taking the median house price to $543,000. The unit market is showing very low levels of growth over the last 12 months with a 0.30% increase in median unit prices a median price of $371,500.

Source: Residex.

Sydney Median Prices

12 months to 31 Oct 2006 and Oct 2006 Quarter

Houses
Units
Oct 2006 Median Price
$543,000
$371,500
% Change over 12 months to 30 Oct 2006
1.28%
0.30%
% Change over Oct 2006 Quarter
0.53%
0.30%
Average % Change per annum over last 10 years
9.2%
7.40%

These figures are consistent with figures released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics which show an increase in Sydney housing of 1.4% over the 12 months to 30 September 2006 and 0.2% over the September Quarter.

These figures suggest that the adjustment phase over the last 2 years is drawing close with the market starting to show the very early stages of a new growth cycle.

The Inner City, East and Lower Northshore continue to perform well with a lack of good quality stock and a large number of cashed up buyers holding these markets up. However not all areas of the Sydney market have been unaffected by the rate increases, the outer suburbs in the West and South are not faring as well. These markets are experiencing a number of mortgagee sales. For example, a three bedroom brick-veneer house in St Clair sold in a mortgagee sale for just $260,000 in August 2006 - down about 42 per cent from its last sale at $450,000 in 2003. In Parramatta, a mortgagee accepted $541,500 for an unrenovated house that fetched $736,000 in 2003.

The lower end of the market which is predominantly made up of first home buyers and investors is also feeling the effect of the interest rate increases. In contrast the prestige properties continue to perform strongly with a shortage of $3 million plus properties on the market. Due to the low stock a large number of properties are selling off-market or pre-market. According to valuer Dyson Austen, the 10 most expensive properties in Sydney in the September Quarter sold for approx. $113 million, $20.9 million higher than the same period in 2005.

Four of the top sales in the September Quarter were apartments. The most expensive property was John Symond's 517sqm apartment at Walsh Bay setting a new record for the highest apartment sale. Prior to this sale, John Laws and Russell Crowe were the owners of Australia’s most expensive apartments when they bought at Woolloomooloo Wharf. Laws paid $15 million for his unit in 2005 and Crowe paid $14.3 million in 2003.

In the Quarter three apartments were bought off the plan at The Bondi in Cambell Parade, Bondi Beach for $10 million, $8 million and $8.5 million within the first week of marketing. The most expensive house was a waterfront property at 12 Drumaresq Road, Rose Bay selling for $14.2 million. The share market continues to boost demand for prestige property as high-net-worth investors cashed in their shares.

The Sydney market has entered a phase of stabilisation and consolidation with a small amount of growth creeping back into the market. A lack of supply of good quality properties, declining new housing and a large number of buyers in the market is keeping a floor under the Sydney market in many areas.

Sydney Rental Market

Rental vacancies are at a 6 year low and as a result, rents and rental yields are on the increase.

Rental returns continue to improve due to a shortage of rental properties on the market. The number of available rental properties is at a six-year low and is still dropping. According to Residex, the rent for the average Sydney house has increased by 5.63% in the last 12 months to $375 per week.

Vacancy rates continue to decline and are sitting at below 2%. These very low vacancy rates will apply pressure on rents improving the yields of property investments and in time should bring more investors back into the market. With the supply of new dwellings decreasing, rental markets will tighten even further in 2007 and 2008. Rental yields are predicted to reach around 5.5% in the medium density market.

Investors should maintain short term leases to allow flexibility to increase rent levels as the rental market continues to improve.

Sales of Interest front 12 Dumaresq Road, Rose Bay: waterfront reserve on 790sqm with stunning city and harbour views. Sold in Sept 2006 for $14.2 million. apart 152 Campbell Parade, Bondi Beach: sold off the plan stunning beach views with completion scheduled for 2008. Sales in August 2006 of $10 million, $8 million and $8.5 million.
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Interest Rates
6.25%

In November the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) raised official interest rates by another 0.25 basis points to 6.25%, the third increase in 6 months to rein in inflationary pressure.

The high inflation figures are being driven by a strong world economy, a tight employment market and resilient consumer spending.

Standard variable mortgage rates are priced off the cash rate so its rise to 6.25% takes the average standard variable rate to around 8% - the highest level since 2000

The rise in November will add $48 a month to repayments on a $300,000 mortgage. When you include all three rate increases they add $144 a month to repayments.

Experts believe that the RBA will hold off on any further interest rate rises in 2007 until the three increases have been fully absorbed into the economy.

Facts of Interest...

Sydney More Expensive: Sydney has become more expensive than New York and London in housing terms (PCA Report).

Housing Affordability: Housing affordably is 4.6% lower than in the September quarter last year. It is worse than it was when interest rates were 17%. Over 750,000 of people in Australia are paying 33% of their income on housing. In Sydney this figure is 37%. (PCA Report)

Building Activity: There was a 5 per cent drop in residential building activity in the last financial year in NSW.

Manly Resort: The State Government has approved a $17 million resort development at North head Quarantine Station in Manly despite strong opposition from residents.
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Disclaimer: SydneySlice and its contributors do not provide financial or legal advice. The information contained in this Newsletter is intended only as a guide and must not be relied upon. Copyright © 2006 SydneySlice.
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